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Trader

0x4b1b87c2190176ff8072c63060cfea2e1ae862c1
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
92%
12W / 1L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
14
across 4 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $453 · all-time $282,277

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.2% 16W/13L 12 $2,758
🤖 Tech 2 $304
💵 Economy 2 $236
🏛 Politics 1 $87
₿ Crypto 1 $19

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No 799 0.836 $668.32 $14.07 +2.2%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 1,242 0.350 $434.75 $-15.74 -3.5%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No 900 0.435 $391.50 $-199.50 -33.8%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? Yes 493 0.555 $273.88 $-47.61 -14.8%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 273 0.810 $221.40 $48.45 +28.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 200 0.875 $175.00 $5.00 +2.9%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? No 163 0.930 $151.83 $20.75 +15.8%
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes 1,548 0.085 $131.60 $-161.70 -55.1%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? No 45 0.935 $42.32 $5.66 +15.4%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? No 37 0.955 $35.47 $0.93 +2.7%
Stripe vs Databricks — greater valuation growth August 2026 Databricks 40 0.845 $33.80 $0.80 +2.4%