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Trader leaderboard/spirited0127

spirited0127

0x4aea779b14c7c8dad013ee16a432661f7652faae
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$39
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
351W / 106L · 103 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
389W / 144L · 27 open
Trades (30d)
560
across 113 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.45
avg win $1 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.63
$67 won / $106 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,736 · all-time $351,184

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.7% 1,115W/462L 312 $45,646
🏛 Politics 85.7% 42W/7L 24 $2,934
⚽ Sports 77.8% 21W/6L 17 $732
₿ Crypto 67.9% 36W/17L 9 $1,295
🎬 Culture 82.1% 32W/7L 9 $899
💵 Economy 46.2% 6W/7L 6 $718
🔬 Science 3 $76
🌤 Weather 1 $25

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Trump out as President before 2027? No 30 0.935 $28.38 $0.46 +1.6%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 28 0.945 $26.06 $0.41 +1.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 28 0.911 $25.89 $0.14 +0.5%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? No 27 0.952 $25.80 $0.26 +1.0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 27 0.966 $25.79 $-0.15 -0.6%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 28 0.925 $25.75 $-0.14 -0.5%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 27 0.961 $25.74 $-0.00 -0.0%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 27 0.970 $25.73 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 28 0.927 $25.68 $0.04 +0.2%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 28 0.915 $25.66 $0.14 +0.5%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 28 0.925 $25.64 $0.14 +0.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? No 26 0.977 $25.58 $0.33 +1.3%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 28 0.905 $25.58 $0.14 +0.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 28 0.914 $25.52 $0.01 +0.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 26 0.969 $25.52 $-0.09 -0.4%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 28 0.915 $25.35 $0.14 +0.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 27 0.945 $25.30 $0.13 +0.5%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 26 0.963 $25.24 $-0.12 -0.5%
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 26 0.966 $25.21 $0.01 +0.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 28 0.885 $25.20 $-0.43 -1.7%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 26 0.964 $25.18 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 29 0.875 $25.14 $-0.72 -2.8%
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 26 0.971 $25.14 $-0.06 -0.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 26 0.961 $25.12 $-0.12 -0.5%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No 26 0.966 $25.10 $-0.18 -0.7%