PnL (30d)

−$64

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

68W / 24L · 47 open

Win Return (30d)

70%

96W / 42L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

139

across 64 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.89

avg win $9 · loss $29

Profit Factor

0.78

$227 won / $291 lost

Reward / Risk

0.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	73.9% 68W/24L	64	$615
🎬 Culture	—	1	$3

Open positions

80 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?	Yes	60	0.915	$54.90	$42.90	+357.5%
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	60	0.911	$54.66	$24.66	+82.2%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	55	0.745	$41.13	$13.52	+49.0%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	35	0.910	$31.92	$30.67	+2448.0%
Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	Yes	60	0.515	$30.90	$18.90	+157.5%
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	43	0.655	$28.09	$6.65	+31.0%
Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	Yes	60	0.420	$25.20	$13.20	+110.0%
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	60	0.260	$15.60	$-14.40	-48.0%
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	60	0.154	$9.24	$8.37	+962.6%
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	50	0.119	$5.97	$4.89	+449.7%
Will Dee Valladares come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	60	0.095	$5.70	$4.24	+289.5%
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	120	0.041	$4.92	$2.31	+88.6%
Will Kamu Kirk come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	60	0.075	$4.50	$3.04	+207.5%
Will Hudson Williams be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	60	0.075	$4.50	$3.63	+417.5%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	60	0.075	$4.50	$2.36	+110.0%
Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	60	0.072	$4.32	$3.45	+396.8%
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	50	0.085	$4.25	$3.53	+486.5%
Will Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	39	0.104	$4.09	$-1.50	-26.9%
Will Travis Kelce be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	60	0.062	$3.72	$2.85	+327.8%
Will Lyric Medeiros come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	60	0.056	$3.36	$1.90	+129.6%
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?	Yes	60	0.049	$2.94	$-12.06	-80.4%
Will Rome Seymour come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	60	0.046	$2.79	$1.33	+90.7%
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?	Yes	60	0.046	$2.76	$-12.24	-81.6%
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	60	0.045	$2.70	$1.83	+210.5%
Will “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	Yes	60	0.045	$2.70	$-9.30	-77.5%