| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,137 |
0.935 |
$1,063.03 |
$129.94 |
+13.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,149 |
0.865 |
$993.62 |
$88.44 |
+9.8% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? |
No |
913 |
0.865 |
$789.71 |
$95.80 |
+13.8% |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? |
No |
774 |
0.825 |
$638.74 |
$-5.26 |
-0.8% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
659 |
0.920 |
$606.34 |
$47.46 |
+8.5% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
600 |
0.980 |
$587.80 |
$73.00 |
+14.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.225 |
$562.50 |
$-253.49 |
-31.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? |
Yes |
637 |
0.880 |
$560.35 |
$60.35 |
+12.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
633 |
0.885 |
$560.13 |
$60.13 |
+12.0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
667 |
0.820 |
$546.67 |
$46.67 |
+9.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
562 |
0.905 |
$508.43 |
$8.43 |
+1.7% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.770 |
$462.00 |
$40.00 |
+9.5% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? |
No |
513 |
0.890 |
$456.41 |
$56.41 |
+14.1% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
412 |
0.984 |
$405.69 |
$8.20 |
+2.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.795 |
$397.50 |
$-9.50 |
-2.3% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.935 |
$374.04 |
$40.20 |
+12.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
766 |
0.460 |
$352.31 |
$52.31 |
+17.4% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
407 |
0.845 |
$343.77 |
$46.79 |
+15.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
500 |
0.675 |
$337.50 |
$7.50 |
+2.3% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
388 |
0.839 |
$325.77 |
$32.70 |
+11.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
359 |
0.905 |
$325.35 |
$41.34 |
+14.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
342 |
0.945 |
$323.01 |
$42.73 |
+15.2% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? |
No |
376 |
0.855 |
$321.26 |
$7.83 |
+2.5% |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
No |
370 |
0.860 |
$318.20 |
$77.70 |
+32.3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
568 |
0.530 |
$300.79 |
$10.68 |
+3.7% |