PnL (30d)

+$33

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

1W / 2L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

5W / 2L

Trades (30d)

7

across 4 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$11.07

avg win $226 · loss $97

Profit Factor

1.17

$226 won / $193 lost

Reward / Risk

2.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.3% 1W/2L	4	$454
₿ Crypto	—	1	$154
💵 Economy	—	1	$154

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	500	0.928	$464.24	$221.75	+91.4%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?	No	500	0.880	$440.00	$141.04	+47.2%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	500	0.775	$387.50	$181.81	+88.4%
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	641	0.595	$381.39	$16.02	+4.4%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	376	0.795	$298.90	$56.85	+23.5%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	339	0.865	$292.87	$1.69	+0.6%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	298	0.945	$282.03	$58.20	+26.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	225	0.998	$224.23	$177.02	+375.0%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?	No	100	0.938	$93.80	$28.30	+43.2%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?	No	100	0.913	$91.35	$29.75	+48.3%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?	No	90	0.890	$80.10	$55.20	+221.7%
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	100	0.795	$79.50	$-12.50	-13.6%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	79	0.895	$70.70	$39.89	+129.5%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	60	0.863	$51.75	$37.95	+275.0%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	40	0.861	$34.42	$-3.78	-9.9%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	60	0.515	$30.90	$5.70	+22.6%
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	30	0.835	$25.05	$1.65	+7.1%
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	20	0.875	$17.50	$2.70	+18.2%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	30	0.555	$16.63	$-6.74	-28.8%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	17	0.480	$7.98	$3.66	+84.6%
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	55	0.110	$6.05	$-21.45	-78.0%
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	6	0.790	$5.05	$2.04	+68.1%