| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
16,093 |
0.780 |
$12,552.56 |
$7,927.89 |
+171.4% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
12,000 |
0.715 |
$8,579.99 |
$2,101.07 |
+32.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.823 |
$5,761.00 |
$1,543.56 |
+36.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6,000 |
0.845 |
$5,070.00 |
$330.00 |
+7.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.675 |
$4,049.97 |
$690.00 |
+20.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.715 |
$3,574.98 |
$805.01 |
+29.1% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.335 |
$3,015.03 |
$-2,141.32 |
-41.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
8,000 |
0.375 |
$2,999.85 |
$582.19 |
+24.1% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.940 |
$2,818.50 |
$577.14 |
+25.7% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4,000 |
0.675 |
$2,699.99 |
$1,730.00 |
+178.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
3,000 |
0.830 |
$2,489.76 |
$427.46 |
+20.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.885 |
$1,770.01 |
$757.28 |
+74.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.845 |
$1,690.00 |
$462.02 |
+37.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.820 |
$1,640.00 |
$714.05 |
+77.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.510 |
$1,530.00 |
$696.01 |
+83.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.725 |
$1,450.00 |
$730.00 |
+101.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
4,016 |
0.357 |
$1,433.64 |
$737.98 |
+106.1% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
2,000 |
0.715 |
$1,429.98 |
$310.00 |
+27.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
2,000 |
0.695 |
$1,389.80 |
$249.80 |
+21.9% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? |
No |
1,600 |
0.710 |
$1,135.99 |
$738.26 |
+185.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.930 |
$930.01 |
$268.61 |
+40.6% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.885 |
$885.00 |
$175.00 |
+24.6% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.815 |
$814.90 |
$674.90 |
+482.1% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
2,000 |
0.397 |
$792.94 |
$228.12 |
+40.4% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
No |
3,000 |
0.255 |
$764.97 |
$-392.39 |
-33.9% |