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Trader leaderboard/RisottoPasta

RisottoPasta

0x49f206f4fb2210a28af4795e4e0b6532cf0bd7b4
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$7,074
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$106
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
289W / 163L · 131 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
322W / 172L · 89 open
Trades (30d)
583
across 57 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$191.20
avg win $493 · loss $305
Profit Factor
2.66
$11,342 won / $4,268 lost
Reward / Risk
1.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,463 · all-time $7,564,257

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.9% 362W/179L 136 $385,280
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 15 $34,162
⚽ Sports 6 $1,631
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $36
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $2,016
🤖 Tech 2 $21
₿ Crypto 1 $3,565

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

158 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 2,232 0.705 $1,573.56 $-122.46 -7.2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 4,500 0.259 $1,163.25 $1,022.62 +727.2%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A Ilbirs eSports 4,444 0.235 $1,044.34 $-88.88 -7.8%
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 951 0.855 $813.52 $43.98 +5.7%
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No 809 0.860 $695.90 $-0.11 -0.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 736 0.875 $644.08 $32.87 +5.4%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes 2,000 0.295 $590.00 $29.97 +5.4%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 862 0.595 $513.11 $-114.59 -18.3%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes 728 0.625 $454.83 $-54.58 -10.7%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 1,002 0.440 $440.76 $0.09 +0.0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 465 0.926 $430.45 $10.40 +2.5%
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 378 0.938 $354.56 $8.69 +2.5%
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No 510 0.680 $346.80 $-24.95 -6.7%
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No 342 0.976 $333.79 $15.74 +4.9%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 500 0.560 $280.00 $-15.00 -5.1%
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? Yes 221 0.940 $207.43 $8.83 +4.4%
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No 205 0.988 $202.44 $15.22 +8.1%
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 476 0.395 $188.07 $85.44 +83.2%
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? Yes 207 0.908 $187.92 $12.56 +7.2%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 302 0.600 $181.30 $0.27 +0.1%
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 420 0.405 $170.28 $75.54 +79.7%
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 509 0.330 $167.81 $-119.43 -41.6%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes 178 0.835 $148.58 $6.33 +4.5%
Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 123 0.991 $122.06 $3.51 +3.0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Down 167 0.725 $120.83 $-40.83 -25.3%