PnL (30d)

−$47

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$18

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 3L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

13W / 4L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

18

across 10 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$23.68

· loss $24

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $47 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/3L	10	$777
🏛 Politics	—	2	$86

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	503	0.976	$490.74	$29.52	+6.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	407	0.945	$384.39	$39.40	+11.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	431	0.755	$325.34	$-3.97	-1.2%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	292	0.980	$285.97	$11.97	+4.4%
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	186	0.929	$172.56	$4.88	+2.9%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	187	0.880	$164.40	$7.40	+4.7%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	169	0.945	$159.81	$3.70	+2.4%
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	154	0.915	$140.88	$4.57	+3.4%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	150	0.925	$138.75	$2.55	+1.9%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	143	0.966	$137.59	$8.18	+6.3%
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	129	0.960	$124.14	$5.20	+4.4%
Nick Fuentes federally charged?	No	125	0.965	$120.61	$0.62	+0.5%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	114	0.945	$108.06	$9.99	+10.2%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	115	0.925	$106.38	$6.33	+6.3%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	111	0.942	$104.23	$2.72	+2.7%
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	101	0.974	$98.25	$2.04	+2.1%
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	100	0.935	$93.76	$1.72	+1.9%
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?	No	115	0.810	$93.48	$1.98	+2.2%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.915	$91.50	$-0.50	-0.5%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	98	0.905	$88.49	$12.88	+17.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	92	0.963	$88.34	$2.70	+3.2%
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	No	90	0.972	$87.48	$1.08	+1.2%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	91	0.875	$79.48	$1.36	+1.7%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	78	0.963	$74.71	$3.26	+4.6%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	80	0.885	$70.80	$-2.00	-2.7%