PnL (30d)

−$16

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

101W / 63L · 47 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

105W / 79L · 27 open

Trades (30d)

211

across 68 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.28

avg win $4 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.89

$133 won / $150 lost

Reward / Risk

0.83

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.6% 101W/63L	68	$751
₿ Crypto	63.6% 21W/12L	14	$100
🌤 Weather	100.0% 8W/0L	1	$15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	Yes	10	0.625	$6.25	$2.55	+68.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6?	Yes	10	0.565	$5.65	$0.10	+1.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	15	0.375	$5.62	$-2.87	-33.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	Yes	5	0.990	$4.95	$1.00	+25.3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	5	0.925	$4.62	$0.67	+17.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6?	No	10	0.435	$4.35	$-0.30	-6.5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 6?	No	5	0.745	$3.73	$0.23	+6.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	2	0.964	$2.36	$0.30	+14.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?	No	5	0.455	$2.27	$-0.17	-7.1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 6?	Yes	5	0.255	$1.27	$-0.17	-12.1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	Yes	5	0.075	$0.38	$-0.62	-62.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	10	0.036	$0.36	$-0.69	-65.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	10	0.010	$0.10	$-1.40	-93.3%