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Trader leaderboard/0x499dC1582A5A7AF63c4e8597CD414538BE1765ec-1760108350184

0x499dC1582A5A7AF63c4e8597CD414538BE1765ec-1760108350184

0x499dc1582a5a7af63c4e8597cd414538be1765ec
PnL (30d)
+$34
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+2.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
13W / 8L
Win Return (30d)
62%
13W / 8L
Trades (30d)
21
across 16 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$2.10
avg win $6 · loss $2
Profit Factor
2.87
$52 won / $18 lost
Reward / Risk
2.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $136,053

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.9% 13W/8L 16 $1,205
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $29

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No 16 0.979 $15.78 $0.78 +5.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.978 $11.24 $1.24 +12.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.975 $11.21 $1.21 +12.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.978 $10.99 $0.99 +9.9%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes 56 0.095 $5.28 $-14.72 -73.6%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 18 0.275 $4.82 $-5.18 -51.8%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 12 0.305 $3.77 $-6.23 -62.3%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 8 0.405 $3.04 $0.04 +1.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 18 0.170 $3.00 $-7.00 -70.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.955 $2.45 $0.45 +22.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.085 $2.12 $-17.88 -89.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.455 $1.75 $0.75 +75.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 4 0.355 $1.54 $-0.46 -22.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1 0.976 $1.10 $0.15 +16.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.065 $0.68 $-6.32 -90.3%
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes 15 0.042 $0.64 $-3.36 -84.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.115 $0.55 $-0.45 -45.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.245 $0.54 $-0.46 -45.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.045 $0.52 $-5.48 -91.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4 0.117 $0.51 $-0.49 -49.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 8 0.065 $0.50 $-1.19 -70.4%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes 3 0.055 $0.15 $-0.85 -85.1%