PnL (30d)

+$0

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

91%

32W / 3L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

92%

34W / 3L · 17 open

Trades (30d)

54

across 26 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.02

avg win $0 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.26

$1 won / $0 lost

Reward / Risk

0.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	94.9% 19,190W/1,027L	7158	$109,625
₿ Crypto	95.5% 1,683W/79L	770	$8,762
🌤 Weather	88.2% 30W/4L	23	$111

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 7?	No	5	0.995	$4.97	$0.02	+0.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.970	$4.85	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5?	No	5	0.965	$4.83	$-0.07	-1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	No	5	0.960	$4.80	$-0.10	-2.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 6?	No	5	0.945	$4.72	$-0.17	-3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 7?	No	5	0.940	$4.70	$-0.25	-5.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	2	0.998	$1.94	$0.03	+1.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6?	No	2	0.950	$1.81	$-0.02	-1.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?	No	1	0.030	$0.03	$0.01	+49.5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	48	0.000	$0.00	$-44.77	-100.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	5	0.000	$0.00	$-4.70	-100.0%