| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
19,509 |
0.350 |
$6,828.16 |
$-733.25 |
-9.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
25,908 |
0.145 |
$3,756.65 |
$-3,484.51 |
-48.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9,960 |
0.225 |
$2,240.99 |
$-426.00 |
-16.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
Yes |
7,144 |
0.130 |
$928.67 |
$-1,022.65 |
-52.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.305 |
$457.50 |
$22.50 |
+5.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
2,559 |
0.145 |
$371.01 |
$-128.99 |
-25.8% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
933 |
0.365 |
$340.49 |
$40.49 |
+13.5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
1,318 |
0.185 |
$243.86 |
$-156.14 |
-39.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,909 |
0.036 |
$215.68 |
$-436.01 |
-66.9% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? |
Yes |
2,997 |
0.070 |
$209.82 |
$-352.99 |
-62.7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7,907 |
0.021 |
$162.10 |
$2.11 |
+1.3% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
884 |
0.180 |
$159.19 |
$-150.82 |
-48.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,283 |
0.115 |
$147.52 |
$-92.51 |
-38.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,502 |
0.075 |
$112.68 |
$-37.32 |
-24.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
1,155 |
0.095 |
$109.68 |
$-150.32 |
-57.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
394 |
0.278 |
$109.25 |
$9.25 |
+9.3% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,161 |
0.060 |
$69.66 |
$-200.34 |
-74.2% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
557 |
0.125 |
$69.63 |
$-30.37 |
-30.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,021 |
0.065 |
$66.39 |
$-156.61 |
-70.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
308 |
0.145 |
$44.60 |
$-55.40 |
-55.4% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? |
Yes |
458 |
0.095 |
$43.48 |
$-86.52 |
-66.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
522 |
0.065 |
$33.95 |
$-66.05 |
-66.0% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.013 |
$27.00 |
$-123.00 |
-82.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
500 |
0.052 |
$26.25 |
$8.25 |
+45.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
Yes |
160 |
0.125 |
$20.00 |
$-20.00 |
-50.0% |