BinaryBaron
0x48c5e0c42ea7c2219f8c1c8d46ff0192c87789f3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$892
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
420W / 2L
Win Return (30d)
100%
420W / 2L
Trades (30d)
422
across 34 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$26.25
avg win $27 · loss $7
Profit Factor
125.77
$900 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
3.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $68,655 · all-time $11,688,638
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
97.4%
1,067W/28L
|
81 |
$729,860 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
100.0%
65W/0L
|
10 |
$59,402 |
|
🎬 Culture
|
100.0%
65W/0L
|
10 |
$59,402 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
10,011 |
1.000 |
$10,006.22 |
$5.01 |
+0.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
7,000 |
0.999 |
$6,989.50 |
$45.16 |
+0.7% |