| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
38 |
0.942 |
$35.94 |
$0.94 |
+2.7% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August? |
No |
21 |
0.966 |
$19.91 |
$-0.09 |
-0.5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.905 |
$12.95 |
$3.10 |
+31.5% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.615 |
$12.30 |
$-2.70 |
-18.0% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? |
No |
16 |
0.685 |
$10.93 |
$-4.07 |
-27.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
13 |
0.840 |
$10.69 |
$0.69 |
+6.9% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.915 |
$10.63 |
$0.63 |
+6.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.885 |
$10.54 |
$0.54 |
+5.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.685 |
$10.38 |
$0.38 |
+3.8% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.981 |
$10.19 |
$0.19 |
+1.9% |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.885 |
$10.06 |
$0.06 |
+0.6% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.925 |
$8.81 |
$2.81 |
+46.8% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.855 |
$8.20 |
$0.20 |
+2.5% |
| Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.890 |
$8.08 |
$3.08 |
+61.6% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.625 |
$7.97 |
$-0.03 |
-0.4% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.750 |
$7.50 |
$0.50 |
+7.1% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.977 |
$7.14 |
$0.14 |
+1.9% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
No |
9 |
0.795 |
$7.13 |
$2.13 |
+42.6% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.837 |
$6.92 |
$0.92 |
+15.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
10 |
0.695 |
$6.79 |
$-0.21 |
-3.0% |
| Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.701 |
$6.38 |
$1.38 |
+27.6% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? |
Yes |
7 |
0.908 |
$6.31 |
$1.31 |
+26.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.915 |
$6.18 |
$1.18 |
+23.6% |
| Human moon landing in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.982 |
$6.16 |
$0.16 |
+2.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
No |
7 |
0.900 |
$6.00 |
$1.00 |
+20.0% |