PnL (30d)

−$277

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-48.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

2%

5W / 277L · 79 open

Win Return (30d)

18%

65W / 296L

Trades (30d)

361

across 59 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$6.30

avg win $81 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.37

$161 won / $438 lost

Reward / Risk

7.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	1.8% 5W/277L	59	$792
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	14	$68
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	14	$68

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	151	0.085	$12.84	$0.76	+6.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	65	0.175	$11.45	$0.98	+9.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	79	0.135	$10.62	$0.39	+3.8%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	62	0.165	$10.23	$1.55	+17.9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	42	0.165	$6.93	$1.05	+17.9%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.033	$6.27	$-3.23	-34.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.021	$4.07	$-1.63	-28.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.015	$2.85	$-0.95	-25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.011	$2.00	$0.09	+5.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.003	$0.47	$-0.47	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.002	$0.28	$0.09	+49.9%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.002	$0.28	$0.09	+49.9%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.002	$0.28	$0.09	+49.9%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.002	$0.28	$0.09	+49.9%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	190	0.002	$0.28	$-0.10	-25.0%