Log in
Trader leaderboard/Liquidifier

Liquidifier

0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b
PnL (30d)
−$5,375
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$145
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
102W / 297L · 89 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
117W / 371L
Trades (30d)
488
across 25 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
−$298.62
avg win $58 · loss $744
Profit Factor
0.10
$581 won / $5,956 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$529
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $250 · all-time $78,341,009

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.6% 102W/297L 25 $59,809
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $529
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $529
🎬 Culture 1 $235

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

168 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Trump out as President before 2027? No 10,000 0.935 $9,349.95 $1,000.03 +12.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 7,000 0.915 $6,405.00 $195.06 +3.1%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 5,327 0.942 $5,015.62 $7.34 +0.1%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 6,186 0.715 $4,422.84 $2,000.02 +82.5%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 3,495 0.945 $3,302.75 $251.56 +8.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 4,591 0.495 $2,272.70 $-979.88 -30.1%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 2,376 0.775 $1,841.08 $1,565.39 +567.8%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 1,814 0.865 $1,569.16 $459.72 +41.4%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No 937 0.880 $824.74 $178.82 +27.7%
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 6,255 0.130 $813.17 $-3,022.72 -78.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 5,123 0.155 $794.03 $-896.48 -53.0%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 839 0.925 $776.03 $272.66 +54.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 6,295 0.113 $711.31 $240.98 +51.2%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 852 0.835 $711.09 $261.12 +58.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No 803 0.590 $473.59 $-80.27 -14.5%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? No 578 0.790 $456.47 $29.57 +6.9%
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No 499 0.900 $449.41 $132.07 +41.6%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 947 0.445 $421.32 $184.62 +78.0%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 4,169 0.097 $402.31 $-2,456.78 -85.9%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 1,028 0.375 $385.60 $-300.34 -43.8%
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 432 0.805 $347.88 $272.01 +358.5%
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? No 333 0.999 $332.84 $12.54 +3.9%
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes 500 0.665 $332.50 $207.50 +166.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 1,500 0.195 $292.50 $-15.60 -5.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,206 0.090 $290.16 $267.70 +1191.6%