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Trader leaderboard/louj75018

louj75018

0x480f54a786e6abbc6d8d1efcfd9a52b213767c91
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
22%
2W / 7L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
32%
6W / 13L
Trades (30d)
19
across 19 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.44
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.25
$1 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.88
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $61 · all-time $8,477

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.1% 25W/23L 75 $247
🏛 Politics 3 $11
💵 Economy 3 $11
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $2
🎬 Culture 1 $1
🤖 Tech 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

92 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No 57 0.930 $53.34 $4.09 +8.3%
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 20 0.850 $16.91 $7.76 +84.8%
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No 23 0.725 $16.69 $0.45 +2.8%
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 11 0.951 $10.92 $0.92 +9.2%
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No 15 0.680 $10.20 $0.30 +3.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 7 0.963 $6.34 $1.34 +26.7%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No 6 0.895 $5.81 $0.81 +16.2%
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? No 10 0.510 $5.10 $0.80 +18.6%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 7 0.710 $5.07 $0.07 +1.4%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? No 6 0.780 $4.81 $-0.19 -3.8%
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? No 6 0.860 $4.78 $-0.22 -4.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 12 0.375 $4.36 $-0.64 -12.8%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No 5 0.855 $4.28 $1.43 +50.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes 10 0.405 $4.05 $0.35 +9.5%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No 5 0.795 $3.98 $1.52 +62.2%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 5 0.785 $3.92 $1.62 +70.6%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 5 0.715 $3.83 $0.83 +27.7%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 5 0.745 $3.73 $1.02 +38.0%
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No 80 0.046 $3.68 $2.64 +253.8%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No 24 0.150 $3.60 $-0.78 -17.8%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $0.77 +34.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 3 0.996 $3.02 $2.02 +201.7%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 5 0.590 $2.95 $0.95 +47.5%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? No 4 0.745 $2.90 $-0.10 -3.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? No 3 0.982 $2.65 $1.65 +165.4%