| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,298 |
0.209 |
$900.33 |
$143.97 |
+19.0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
23,660 |
0.013 |
$307.58 |
$177.47 |
+136.4% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
20,343 |
0.011 |
$233.95 |
$27.77 |
+13.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,892 |
0.102 |
$193.95 |
$38.61 |
+24.9% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.790 |
$158.00 |
$118.00 |
+295.0% |
| Discord IPO before 2027? |
No |
223 |
0.706 |
$157.42 |
$144.90 |
+1157.4% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.025 |
$152.40 |
$55.40 |
+57.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? |
Yes |
458 |
0.300 |
$137.46 |
$64.15 |
+87.5% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
1,638 |
0.064 |
$104.00 |
$52.24 |
+100.9% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
2,571 |
0.033 |
$83.56 |
$-31.23 |
-27.2% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.325 |
$65.00 |
$11.00 |
+20.4% |
| Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
192 |
0.290 |
$55.79 |
$32.71 |
+141.7% |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
159 |
0.310 |
$49.26 |
$20.66 |
+72.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
161 |
0.295 |
$47.51 |
$5.42 |
+12.9% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
169 |
0.276 |
$46.66 |
$-1.00 |
-2.1% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.460 |
$46.00 |
$34.00 |
+283.3% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.325 |
$39.00 |
$13.80 |
+54.8% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
172 |
0.185 |
$31.77 |
$-21.47 |
-40.3% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
86 |
0.360 |
$30.90 |
$-11.16 |
-26.5% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,947 |
0.004 |
$22.26 |
$-7.42 |
-25.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.820 |
$19.61 |
$9.57 |
+95.2% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.075 |
$15.01 |
$-11.11 |
-42.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.735 |
$14.70 |
$3.50 |
+31.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.024 |
$14.10 |
$2.10 |
+17.5% |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
95 |
0.134 |
$12.69 |
$1.12 |
+9.7% |