| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
940 |
0.927 |
$871.81 |
$33.79 |
+4.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
515 |
0.945 |
$486.60 |
$47.20 |
+10.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
430 |
0.962 |
$413.66 |
$12.83 |
+3.2% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
100 |
0.920 |
$91.99 |
$5.50 |
+6.4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
90 |
0.963 |
$86.62 |
$2.15 |
+2.5% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.963 |
$72.19 |
$2.62 |
+3.8% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.942 |
$52.33 |
$0.91 |
+1.8% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
50 |
0.998 |
$49.88 |
$1.68 |
+3.5% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.967 |
$48.35 |
$2.28 |
+4.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
40 |
0.958 |
$38.30 |
$5.30 |
+16.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
30 |
0.946 |
$28.38 |
$1.68 |
+6.3% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
88 |
0.180 |
$15.75 |
$-29.95 |
-65.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.988 |
$14.81 |
$0.37 |
+2.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.735 |
$7.35 |
$0.25 |
+3.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.261 |
$2.60 |
$-0.73 |
-22.0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto |
Nothing |
1 |
0.964 |
$1.02 |
$0.03 |
+2.7% |