JasonPunos
0x47ae6d13566c3418c4795c98ced1f197575eee94
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$276
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-4.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
27%
25W / 67L
Win Return (30d)
27%
25W / 67L
Trades (30d)
92
across 9 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$30.67
avg win $52 · loss $72
Profit Factor
0.36
$157 won / $433 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$214
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $86,332 · all-time $3,040,529
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
No |
2,650 |
0.735 |
$1,947.75 |
$-91.24 |
-4.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,971 |
0.969 |
$1,909.29 |
$9.95 |
+0.5% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.997 |
$997.00 |
$17.00 |
+1.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
900 |
0.835 |
$751.50 |
$87.40 |
+13.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
4,000 |
0.175 |
$700.00 |
$-927.48 |
-57.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.988 |
$592.80 |
$16.20 |
+2.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.215 |
$215.01 |
$-35.02 |
-14.0% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.974 |
$97.40 |
$4.40 |
+4.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
6,329 |
0.002 |
$9.49 |
$-2,120.20 |
-99.6% |