Log in
Trader leaderboard/TradeDeficitArchitect

TradeDeficitArchitect

0x477f156a229f1a174fdf945c778b7362dd2b19aa
PnL (30d)
+$0
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$713
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
39%
12W / 19L
Trades (30d)
31
across 7 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $9,026,865

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 7 $3,440
🏛 Politics 1 $1
🎬 Culture 1 $1

Open positions

63 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 55,000 0.883 $48,592.50 $21,092.50 +76.7%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 20,000 0.875 $17,499.97 $750.12 +4.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 13,000 0.945 $12,284.96 $1,525.04 +14.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 8,470 0.866 $7,330.81 $-69.99 -0.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 8,000 0.845 $6,759.99 $620.01 +10.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 7,023 0.935 $6,566.43 $1,764.52 +36.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 55,000 0.117 $6,407.50 $-21,092.45 -76.7%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 6,220 0.966 $6,005.62 $330.21 +5.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 7,106 0.755 $5,365.07 $377.34 +7.6%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 5,000 0.935 $4,674.96 $425.00 +10.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 6,403 0.723 $4,626.37 $-691.22 -13.0%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 5,602 0.515 $2,885.22 $-987.45 -25.5%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 4,258 0.635 $2,703.77 $-160.85 -5.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 2,500 0.977 $2,441.25 $116.25 +5.0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 2,500 0.961 $2,401.24 $106.25 +4.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 4,538 0.455 $2,064.77 $-127.93 -5.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 2,000 0.986 $1,971.00 $33.00 +1.7%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 11,429 0.146 $1,674.31 $1,173.56 +234.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,767 0.885 $1,563.64 $150.18 +10.6%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 2,000 0.680 $1,360.00 $132.00 +10.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 7,361 0.184 $1,358.06 $-713.03 -34.4%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 2,000 0.675 $1,350.00 $-150.00 -10.0%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 1,140 0.977 $1,113.21 $98.61 +9.7%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 930 0.954 $887.22 $171.12 +23.9%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 866 0.850 $736.06 $444.80 +152.7%