| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
1,320 |
0.825 |
$1,089.26 |
$-5.08 |
-0.5% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
1,333 |
0.680 |
$906.66 |
$13.33 |
+1.5% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
No |
739 |
0.780 |
$576.07 |
$29.54 |
+5.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
1,000 |
0.535 |
$535.00 |
$115.00 |
+27.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
37,915 |
0.013 |
$511.86 |
$25.90 |
+5.3% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
2,504 |
0.135 |
$338.09 |
$30.97 |
+10.1% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.213 |
$320.25 |
$-176.25 |
-35.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.605 |
$302.50 |
$-12.50 |
-4.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,037 |
0.105 |
$213.86 |
$-6.50 |
-3.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.209 |
$209.49 |
$-30.50 |
-12.7% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? |
No |
303 |
0.615 |
$186.34 |
$-10.61 |
-5.4% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.865 |
$173.00 |
$-7.00 |
-3.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
500 |
0.325 |
$162.50 |
$-17.50 |
-9.7% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.625 |
$125.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.235 |
$117.50 |
$-42.12 |
-26.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? |
No |
884 |
0.120 |
$106.08 |
$-53.04 |
-33.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
110 |
0.920 |
$101.20 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.615 |
$92.25 |
$-27.75 |
-23.1% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
87 |
0.888 |
$77.07 |
$-0.04 |
-0.0% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? |
No |
200 |
0.345 |
$68.98 |
$-11.02 |
-13.8% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
151 |
0.365 |
$55.14 |
$-4.76 |
-7.9% |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
1,309 |
0.035 |
$46.33 |
$-107.02 |
-69.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
90 |
0.485 |
$43.84 |
$23.55 |
+116.1% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
34 |
0.915 |
$30.98 |
$1.19 |
+4.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.145 |
$14.50 |
$-13.50 |
-48.2% |