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Trader leaderboard/0x476c1E85d5798B6d6E28DEA0B34306017EadcE52-1765968468023

0x476c1E85d5798B6d6E28DEA0B34306017EadcE52-1765968468023

0x476c1e85d5798b6d6e28dea0b34306017eadce52
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,031
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$59
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
94W / 107L · 49 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
126W / 121L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
250
across 133 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$10.11
avg win $20 · loss $49
Profit Factor
0.53
$1,158 won / $2,189 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$9
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $338,759

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.7% 166W/197L 231 $12,680
₿ Crypto 85.7% 6W/1L 13 $489
💵 Economy 85.7% 6W/1L 8 $284
⚽ Sports 3 $312

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

136 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? No 362 0.968 $350.08 $39.85 +12.8%
Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026? No 330 0.966 $318.90 $35.37 +12.5%
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No 305 0.960 $292.44 $30.83 +11.8%
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No 294 0.870 $255.94 $97.41 +61.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No 258 0.855 $220.85 $10.22 +4.9%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? No 226 0.935 $210.92 $55.92 +36.1%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 249 0.775 $192.85 $26.91 +16.2%
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? No 250 0.705 $176.02 $23.44 +15.4%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? No 176 0.991 $174.33 $9.17 +5.6%
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.805 $161.40 $25.05 +18.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 182 0.845 $153.79 $32.08 +26.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No 199 0.760 $151.55 $11.46 +8.2%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 166 0.885 $146.91 $31.83 +27.7%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 148 0.963 $142.45 $19.89 +16.2%
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? No 143 0.915 $130.54 $6.27 +5.0%
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 138 0.915 $126.24 $5.45 +4.5%
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 135 0.924 $124.74 $6.15 +5.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 162 0.755 $122.31 $16.27 +15.3%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No 133 0.910 $121.28 $19.73 +19.4%
Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? No 129 0.905 $116.60 $10.12 +9.5%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No 122 0.925 $112.85 $36.12 +47.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 121 0.885 $107.08 $12.93 +13.7%
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? No 110 0.935 $102.55 $22.93 +28.8%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 100 0.969 $96.85 $0.45 +0.5%
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? No 120 0.780 $93.49 $34.50 +58.5%