QMG-MACRO
0x4755072010b0a6963d5140b4c34ba6a544664338
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$449
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$46
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
78W / 6L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
94%
94W / 6L
Trades (30d)
100
across 8 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$74.78
avg win $113 · loss $115
Profit Factor
4.90
$564 won / $115 lost
Reward / Risk
0.98
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25,638 · all-time $837,289
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
20,396 |
0.983 |
$20,039.47 |
$37.39 |
+0.2% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
7,001 |
0.985 |
$6,892.31 |
$158.18 |
+2.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
6,146 |
0.991 |
$6,087.99 |
$2.37 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
6,000 |
0.955 |
$5,729.98 |
$90.00 |
+1.6% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
No |
2,918 |
0.945 |
$2,757.96 |
$25.79 |
+0.9% |