| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? |
Yes |
10 |
0.800 |
$7.70 |
$0.96 |
+14.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
8 |
0.485 |
$3.64 |
$0.64 |
+21.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
2 |
0.775 |
$1.55 |
$0.05 |
+3.3% |
| Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
No |
2 |
0.993 |
$1.50 |
$-0.00 |
-0.3% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.896 |
$1.43 |
$-0.07 |
-4.6% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.824 |
$1.36 |
$-0.14 |
-9.0% |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
30 |
0.045 |
$1.33 |
$-0.17 |
-11.3% |
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? |
No |
2 |
0.846 |
$1.30 |
$-0.20 |
-13.0% |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? |
No |
15 |
0.085 |
$1.27 |
$-0.23 |
-15.0% |
| Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? |
No |
2 |
0.565 |
$1.13 |
$-0.37 |
-24.7% |
| Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
Yes |
26 |
0.042 |
$1.10 |
$-0.78 |
-41.7% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
No |
16 |
0.060 |
$0.97 |
$-2.02 |
-67.5% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
4 |
0.255 |
$0.96 |
$-0.54 |
-36.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
3 |
0.315 |
$0.94 |
$-0.56 |
-37.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.148 |
$0.93 |
$-0.57 |
-37.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.115 |
$0.86 |
$-0.64 |
-42.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.114 |
$0.86 |
$-0.64 |
-43.0% |
| Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? |
Yes |
8 |
0.011 |
$0.09 |
$-1.41 |
-94.3% |