| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
950 |
0.555 |
$527.53 |
$38.35 |
+7.8% |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.095 |
$475.00 |
$-25.00 |
-5.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.135 |
$405.00 |
$-75.00 |
-15.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.146 |
$351.57 |
$198.82 |
+130.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
800 |
0.405 |
$324.00 |
$-9.60 |
-2.9% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
12,000 |
0.021 |
$246.00 |
$30.00 |
+13.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? |
Yes |
1,504 |
0.140 |
$210.49 |
$-209.73 |
-49.9% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: August |
Something |
1,088 |
0.185 |
$201.29 |
$36.01 |
+21.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.145 |
$159.50 |
$-213.70 |
-57.3% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.635 |
$158.76 |
$21.14 |
+15.4% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.090 |
$135.75 |
$86.25 |
+174.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.455 |
$91.00 |
$7.25 |
+8.7% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
9,040 |
0.009 |
$85.88 |
$-75.72 |
-46.9% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.007 |
$75.00 |
$-25.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.005 |
$33.00 |
$20.39 |
+161.7% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.013 |
$27.00 |
$13.00 |
+92.9% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
593 |
0.040 |
$23.42 |
$7.41 |
+46.3% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.006 |
$19.50 |
$4.58 |
+30.7% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.015 |
$15.00 |
$-23.67 |
-61.2% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
800 |
0.013 |
$10.00 |
$-11.60 |
-53.7% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? |
Yes |
3,984 |
0.003 |
$9.96 |
$-11.85 |
-54.3% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? |
Yes |
6,629 |
0.002 |
$9.94 |
$-2.66 |
-21.1% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? |
Yes |
3,948 |
0.002 |
$5.92 |
$-3.89 |
-39.7% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? |
Yes |
711 |
0.004 |
$2.85 |
$-4.77 |
-62.6% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
254 |
0.005 |
$1.40 |
$-76.76 |
-98.2% |