PnL (30d)

+$87

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+35.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

4W / 4L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

5W / 7L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

16

across 12 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$14.58

avg win $79 · loss $17

Profit Factor

2.25

$157 won / $70 lost

Reward / Risk

4.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 4W/4L	12	$470
🏛 Politics	—	2	$20
₿ Crypto	—	1	$10
💵 Economy	—	1	$10

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	200	0.305	$61.00	$11.00	+22.0%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	95	0.265	$25.22	$-3.33	-11.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	150	0.085	$12.77	$-10.23	-44.5%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	354	0.025	$8.98	$-0.57	-5.9%