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Trader leaderboard/anon.1980.123

anon.1980.123

0x46992d0e547e3822a9c28723f51bfa804ae4e03c
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$518
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
98%
1,166W / 20L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
98%
1,171W / 22L
Trades (30d)
1,193
across 690 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.76
avg win $13 · loss $740
Profit Factor
1.06
$8,653 won / $8,136 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,882
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,344,664 · all-time $28,735,295

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 92.5% 10,382W/844L 2727 $10,926,890
🌤 Weather 98.9% 449W/5L 251 $260,221
⚽ Sports 92.3% 263W/22L 75 $553,437
₿ Crypto 99.4% 179W/1L 19 $205,392
🏛 Politics 96.2% 25W/1L 9 $162,309
🎬 Culture 94.7% 18W/1L 9 $34,690
💵 Economy 100.0% 10W/0L 2 $129,972

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 60,000 0.573 $34,350.13 $-14,702.46 -30.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 11,628 1.000 $11,622.43 $331.40 +2.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? No 6,632 0.974 $6,456.28 $-9.05 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 4,118 0.977 $4,023.09 $-27.96 -0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 5? No 2,861 1.000 $2,859.56 $26.38 +0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 5? No 2,767 0.930 $2,573.36 $-131.66 -4.9%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 2,573 0.991 $2,549.37 $33.60 +1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? No 2,451 1.000 $2,450.00 $29.20 +1.2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? Up 2,147 1.000 $2,146.33 $127.77 +6.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? No 2,159 0.980 $2,114.43 $-16.00 -0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? No 2,068 1.000 $2,066.53 $29.68 +1.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? No 1,929 1.000 $1,928.09 $18.72 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 1,596 1.000 $1,594.91 $25.03 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? No 1,584 1.000 $1,582.95 $22.48 +1.4%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5? No 1,475 1.000 $1,473.92 $25.91 +1.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6? No 1,384 0.975 $1,349.16 $-3.00 -0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? No 1,306 1.000 $1,305.66 $36.94 +2.9%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 1,090 1.000 $1,089.00 $12.26 +1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? No 1,047 1.000 $1,046.62 $25.22 +2.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? No 1,014 1.000 $1,013.49 $7.62 +0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? No 991 1.000 $990.13 $12.08 +1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 5? No 965 1.000 $964.17 $9.16 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5? No 836 0.883 $738.46 $-79.38 -9.7%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 5? No 657 1.000 $656.68 $6.43 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? No 667 0.956 $637.84 $-22.32 -3.4%