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poi123

0x45e7f98a1f64c1e5eea2fb5e287788f1cc67d77c
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$68
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
17W / 8L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
28W / 16L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
48
across 19 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$5.25
avg win $9 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.51
$71 won / $139 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,921 · all-time $248,310

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.4% 957W/870L 769 $22,333
🎬 Culture 83.3% 5W/1L 11 $2,059
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/23L 4 $0
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $415
🤖 Tech 3 $1,912
⚽ Sports 2 $39
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $1,579

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? No 704 0.835 $588.16 $-52.83 -8.2%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? No 699 0.360 $251.67 $-83.89 -25.0%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No 802 0.165 $132.26 $-9.02 -6.4%
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? Yes 700 0.165 $115.50 $45.50 +65.0%
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? No 101 0.891 $89.99 $6.46 +7.7%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No 100 0.744 $74.40 $10.35 +16.2%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No 37 0.758 $28.29 $-1.51 -5.1%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes 100 0.256 $25.60 $-8.40 -24.7%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.630 $12.60 $-1.00 -7.4%
Will CJ Abrams lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? Yes 46 0.153 $7.04 $-8.60 -55.0%
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? Yes 21 0.165 $3.46 $-3.67 -51.5%
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes 19 0.120 $2.28 $0.19 +9.1%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? Yes 10 0.104 $1.04 $-1.42 -57.7%
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 2 0.540 $1.03 $0.06 +5.9%