| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
4,633 |
0.825 |
$3,822.05 |
$907.16 |
+31.1% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? |
No |
1,417 |
0.815 |
$1,155.07 |
$131.56 |
+12.9% |
| Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? |
Yes |
2,124 |
0.521 |
$1,107.42 |
$827.00 |
+294.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
8,528 |
0.117 |
$993.51 |
$-291.25 |
-22.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,000 |
0.865 |
$865.00 |
$15.00 |
+1.8% |
| Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day? |
No |
578 |
0.946 |
$546.70 |
$75.19 |
+15.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
600 |
0.885 |
$531.00 |
$33.00 |
+6.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,181 |
0.395 |
$466.67 |
$-118.60 |
-20.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? |
No |
500 |
0.775 |
$387.50 |
$-2.50 |
-0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
500 |
0.705 |
$352.50 |
$-12.50 |
-3.4% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
393 |
0.895 |
$351.57 |
$41.25 |
+13.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
715 |
0.485 |
$346.83 |
$7.03 |
+2.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,210 |
0.264 |
$318.83 |
$-17.69 |
-5.3% |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? |
No |
393 |
0.805 |
$316.29 |
$60.50 |
+23.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.285 |
$284.90 |
$-92.10 |
-24.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.515 |
$154.50 |
$-4.50 |
-2.8% |
| California voter ID referendum passes? |
No |
279 |
0.515 |
$143.89 |
$-56.65 |
-28.2% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
1,013 |
0.140 |
$141.82 |
$-398.65 |
-73.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House |
Yes |
8,419 |
0.011 |
$96.82 |
$-32.00 |
-24.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.065 |
$65.00 |
$-95.00 |
-59.4% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,839 |
0.025 |
$46.70 |
$2.57 |
+5.8% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers? |
Yes |
72 |
0.595 |
$42.84 |
$-15.48 |
-26.5% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
372 |
0.060 |
$22.34 |
$-3.35 |
-13.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.945 |
$2.22 |
$0.30 |
+15.5% |