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Trader leaderboard/schneider

schneider

0x45a39326be48a1209bc9e641a216513cf19512f0
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$710
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$54
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
202W / 60L · 19 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
211W / 69L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
281
across 102 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$8.25
avg win $7 · loss $115
Profit Factor
0.44
$561 won / $1,270 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$351
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,469 · all-time $594,983

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.6% 720W/162L 262 $74,841
₿ Crypto 82.3% 107W/23L 65 $12,767
💵 Economy 79.4% 85W/22L 58 $11,175
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 6 $1,235
🤖 Tech 62.5% 5W/3L 4 $1,726

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 1,900 0.675 $1,282.57 $28.69 +2.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 500 0.945 $472.25 $-3.45 -0.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 3 2026? No 400 0.998 $399.00 $3.00 +0.8%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 400 0.935 $374.00 $-2.00 -0.5%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 437 0.855 $373.58 $37.58 +11.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 560 0.545 $305.27 $-39.23 -11.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026? No 300 0.997 $299.10 $14.10 +4.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of August 3 2026? No 300 0.989 $296.54 $10.45 +3.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 300 0.968 $290.25 $-1.25 -0.4%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? No 300 0.964 $289.20 $2.70 +0.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 300 0.955 $286.50 $22.50 +8.5%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 300 0.954 $286.05 $-0.45 -0.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 300 0.953 $285.75 $2.15 +0.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? No 300 0.909 $272.70 $-15.30 -5.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? No 300 0.790 $237.00 $-39.00 -14.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? No 200 0.995 $198.90 $1.30 +0.7%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 200 0.985 $196.90 $4.50 +2.3%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? No 200 0.984 $196.70 $8.10 +4.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? No 200 0.977 $195.30 $-2.70 -1.4%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by August 31? No 200 0.945 $189.00 $-3.00 -1.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? No 200 0.935 $187.00 $1.00 +0.5%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in August? No 200 0.905 $181.00 $-3.00 -1.6%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 in August? No 200 0.740 $148.00 $-26.00 -14.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No 143 0.985 $140.76 $3.43 +2.5%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 150 0.926 $138.97 $7.33 +5.6%