PnL (30d)

+$43

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$571

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

66W / 72L · 1,471 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

890W / 716L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

1,609

across 13 markets · ~124 per market

EV / position

+$21.36

avg win $133 · loss $90

Profit Factor

1.47

$133 won / $90 lost

Reward / Risk

1.47

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$15

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.8% 66W/72L	13	$128,262
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/15L	7	$34,851
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/15L	2	$16,587

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	9,999	0.615	$6,149.20	$848.91	+16.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	9,999	0.385	$3,849.50	$-757.71	-16.4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	3,200	0.725	$2,320.26	$84.12	+3.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	1,625	0.835	$1,357.04	$-45.26	-3.2%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	3,176	0.277	$878.12	$-60.88	-6.5%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	1,088	0.735	$799.94	$-7.95	-1.0%
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	1,089	0.255	$277.58	$31.07	+12.6%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	Yes	1,625	0.160	$260.03	$53.43	+25.9%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	180	0.850	$152.61	$0.79	+0.5%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	180	0.145	$26.03	$-0.90	-3.3%
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	25	0.085	$2.12	$-8.12	-79.3%