| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
200 |
0.985 |
$196.91 |
$-0.50 |
-0.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
199 |
0.969 |
$192.84 |
$0.80 |
+0.4% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.962 |
$192.41 |
$-3.40 |
-1.7% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.930 |
$186.10 |
$-6.90 |
-3.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.915 |
$183.00 |
$-2.16 |
-1.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
200 |
0.865 |
$173.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
198 |
0.850 |
$168.13 |
$-9.89 |
-5.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.825 |
$165.00 |
$-21.00 |
-11.3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.765 |
$153.00 |
$-17.00 |
-10.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.955 |
$143.25 |
$1.59 |
+1.1% |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.932 |
$93.20 |
$0.70 |
+0.8% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
No |
99 |
0.885 |
$87.84 |
$-3.53 |
-3.9% |
| Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.98 |
$0.23 |
+0.5% |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.98 |
$0.23 |
+0.5% |
| Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.98 |
$0.23 |
+0.5% |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.98 |
$0.23 |
+0.5% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.94 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.93 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.92 |
$0.42 |
+0.9% |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.92 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |
| Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
No |
50 |
0.998 |
$49.89 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.998 |
$49.88 |
$0.12 |
+0.3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? |
No |
50 |
0.998 |
$49.88 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? |
No |
50 |
0.997 |
$49.83 |
$0.12 |
+0.3% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.997 |
$49.83 |
$0.12 |
+0.3% |