| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
20,000 |
0.790 |
$15,810.00 |
$5,810.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.209 |
$4,190.00 |
$-5,810.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
3,375 |
0.972 |
$3,278.58 |
$42.18 |
+1.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.964 |
$2,890.50 |
$410.50 |
+16.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
3,795 |
0.745 |
$2,827.59 |
$1,048.20 |
+58.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.675 |
$2,700.00 |
$450.00 |
+20.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
3,000 |
0.875 |
$2,624.91 |
$45.00 |
+1.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.825 |
$1,650.00 |
$80.00 |
+5.1% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
1,100 |
0.954 |
$1,049.40 |
$63.11 |
+6.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.920 |
$920.00 |
$110.00 |
+13.6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.905 |
$905.00 |
$125.00 |
+16.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
959 |
0.910 |
$872.73 |
$391.54 |
+81.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
752 |
0.987 |
$741.37 |
$62.00 |
+9.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.705 |
$705.00 |
$-10.00 |
-1.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.250 |
$500.00 |
$60.00 |
+13.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
2,946 |
0.165 |
$486.08 |
$73.65 |
+17.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.905 |
$452.50 |
$72.50 |
+19.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
499 |
0.895 |
$446.39 |
$2.49 |
+0.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.905 |
$362.01 |
$18.00 |
+5.2% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.685 |
$342.50 |
$12.50 |
+3.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.685 |
$342.47 |
$32.50 |
+10.5% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
1,850 |
0.180 |
$333.02 |
$-249.01 |
-42.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
700 |
0.457 |
$319.90 |
$166.60 |
+108.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.565 |
$282.45 |
$42.45 |
+17.7% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.265 |
$265.00 |
$-185.00 |
-41.1% |