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Trader

0x44afef32248bf8198f2d456a990464e69a1ec7dd
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 1L
Trades (30d)
1
across 1 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $164,538

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 14.3% 1W/6L 4 $26
🌤 Weather 1 $7
🔬 Science 1 $7

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes 325 0.100 $32.53 $-58.60 -64.3%
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? Yes 241 0.125 $30.15 $-9.45 -23.9%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes 310 0.044 $13.64 $-79.20 -85.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 28 0.460 $12.76 $-2.24 -14.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 45 0.278 $12.61 $8.61 +215.3%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes 161 0.055 $8.84 $-60.66 -87.3%
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No 6 0.880 $5.12 $0.12 +2.3%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes 20 0.215 $4.30 $-9.30 -68.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 61 0.065 $3.97 $-24.68 -86.1%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 50 0.065 $3.25 $-16.75 -83.8%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 67 0.037 $2.50 $-7.50 -75.0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 82 0.021 $1.67 $-2.33 -58.2%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 10 0.100 $1.00 $-2.80 -73.7%
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes 13 0.075 $0.99 $-4.01 -80.3%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 15 0.048 $0.71 $-0.94 -56.8%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes 7 0.073 $0.52 $-0.47 -47.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.045 $0.45 $-1.85 -80.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 7 0.055 $0.39 $-0.61 -60.7%