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Trader leaderboard/471pd

471pd

0x44ac33bac4cd70f5022d1103122dd3e73427dc9e
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$114
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-75.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 4L
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 4L
Trades (30d)
4
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$37.88
· loss $38
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $114 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$114
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $908,992

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 0.0% 0W/7L 5 $1,248
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/4L 3 $188

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 308 0.385 $118.50 $72.50 +157.6%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 190 0.160 $30.32 $9.32 +44.4%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 208 0.135 $28.12 $-11.87 -29.7%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 1,420 0.018 $26.28 $-94.72 -78.3%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 27 0.825 $21.99 $1.99 +9.9%
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 14 0.820 $11.23 $1.23 +12.3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 14 0.675 $9.12 $-0.88 -8.8%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 6 0.942 $5.95 $0.95 +19.0%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 9 0.515 $4.68 $-0.32 -6.4%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 35 0.043 $1.52 $-1.48 -49.5%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 33 0.034 $1.13 $-8.87 -88.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6 0.117 $0.68 $-0.32 -32.3%
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 1,053 0.001 $0.53 $-14.47 -96.5%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 25 0.018 $0.46 $-9.54 -95.4%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 100 0.004 $0.45 $-0.55 -55.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? Yes 49 0.007 $0.37 $-0.63 -63.4%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 439 0.001 $0.22 $-6.78 -96.9%
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 250 0.001 $0.12 $-0.88 -87.5%