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Trader leaderboard/duncjst

duncjst

0x44aafe6c5738defb4d09fcef8fe643731dc4d1d5
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$24
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$116
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 12L · 67 open
Win Return (30d)
1%
1W / 78L
Trades (30d)
79
across 6 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$23.52
· loss $24
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $24 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,194 · all-time $1,009,714

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 30.9% 47W/105L 46 $14,627
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/22L 9 $4,857
⚽ Sports 33.3% 2W/4L 6 $622
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/22L 6 $907
💵 Economy 4 $2,920
🤖 Tech 2 $71

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 1,435 0.495 $710.57 $-357.52 -33.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 1,082 0.250 $270.50 $-215.35 -44.3%
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026? No 310 0.855 $265.22 $64.41 +32.1%
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes 729 0.285 $207.59 $-69.11 -25.0%
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $3,000 393 0.455 $178.81 $-29.48 -14.2%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 804 0.165 $132.66 $-1.86 -1.4%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No 159 0.640 $101.64 $1.89 +1.9%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? No 255 0.356 $90.78 $-74.39 -45.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 200 0.405 $81.00 $13.00 +19.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 271 0.195 $52.84 $-12.19 -18.7%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? No 145 0.355 $51.35 $-35.44 -40.8%
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 238 0.210 $50.06 $4.77 +10.5%
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? No 477 0.059 $27.91 $-19.43 -41.1%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 200 0.115 $23.00 $-37.00 -61.7%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 600 0.033 $19.80 $-118.20 -85.7%
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes 313 0.050 $15.63 $0.00 +0.0%
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? Yes 249 0.058 $14.44 $-15.44 -51.7%
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.890 $9.88 $0.78 +8.5%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.095 $9.50 $-23.50 -71.2%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 140 0.041 $5.67 $-26.67 -82.5%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? Yes 7 0.644 $4.46 $2.11 +89.4%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 150 0.024 $3.60 $-43.15 -92.3%
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? No 6 0.555 $3.49 $1.85 +113.5%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes 100 0.033 $3.25 $-16.75 -83.8%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 116 0.026 $3.02 $-13.24 -81.4%