wbxxx
0x449c7483aade15b5c4772fab7becc60a1c20879e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$284
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,495
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 5L · 57 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
42W / 20L
Trades (30d)
62
across 10 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$141.82
· loss $142
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $284 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $69,010 · all-time $4,075,173
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
18,794 |
0.620 |
$11,652.58 |
$1,621.33 |
+16.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
11,016 |
0.685 |
$7,546.25 |
$3,870.86 |
+105.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14,397 |
0.365 |
$5,254.81 |
$442.07 |
+9.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
6,417 |
0.465 |
$2,980.80 |
$689.26 |
+30.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
3,572 |
0.705 |
$2,517.98 |
$723.60 |
+40.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,207 |
0.780 |
$1,721.49 |
$971.49 |
+129.5% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
6,009 |
0.265 |
$1,592.43 |
$-208.01 |
-11.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
158 |
0.900 |
$142.55 |
$54.37 |
+61.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
5 |
0.635 |
$3.17 |
$-0.03 |
-0.8% |