12344f
0x4460f141408f5496de7cf57a3e51487f2b7654d1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$53
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
7W / 2L · 49 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
16W / 17L · 25 open
Trades (30d)
58
across 18 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.49
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.02
$0 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,539 · all-time $97,150
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
200 |
0.175 |
$35.00 |
$-7.00 |
-16.7% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.079 |
$3.92 |
$-34.08 |
-89.7% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
20 |
0.175 |
$3.50 |
$-0.70 |
-16.7% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
50 |
0.055 |
$2.75 |
$-3.25 |
-54.2% |