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Trader leaderboard/WALLYFIGHTS

WALLYFIGHTS

0x445e88628a68c596c857085eb26f6379a1f49be0
PnL (30d)
+$4,691
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$638
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
294W / 103L · 636 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
769W / 264L
Trades (30d)
1,033
across 57 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
+$114.43
avg win $1,096 · loss $1,779
Profit Factor
1.19
$29,601 won / $24,909 lost
Reward / Risk
0.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15,065
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $36,133 · all-time $7,662,530

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.1% 294W/103L 57 $109,201
⚽ Sports 71.7% 33W/13L 13 $10,405
🏛 Politics 4 $17,807

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 3,000 0.980 $2,938.51 $1,438.50 +95.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 3,467 0.845 $2,929.46 $290.81 +11.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 3,000 0.956 $2,866.50 $1,366.50 +91.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 3,000 0.914 $2,743.50 $1,066.13 +63.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 12,822 0.184 $2,365.61 $-478.15 -16.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 2,212 0.985 $2,177.71 $1,071.71 +96.9%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 2,000 0.905 $1,809.95 $139.96 +8.4%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,200 0.975 $1,169.40 $569.40 +94.9%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,200 0.911 $1,093.80 $493.80 +82.3%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 1,100 0.927 $1,019.70 $-5.50 -0.5%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes 3,451 0.285 $983.22 $-33.56 -3.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,550 0.460 $712.18 $-30.11 -4.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,200 0.209 $670.40 $-131.81 -16.4%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 216 0.885 $191.20 $7.56 +4.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 200 0.906 $181.30 $81.30 +81.3%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes 1,186 0.145 $172.03 $-427.19 -71.3%
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.140 $140.00 $-160.00 -53.3%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 19,139 0.006 $124.40 $-90.89 -42.2%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 106 0.845 $89.57 $26.55 +42.1%
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes 2,000 0.043 $86.80 $-31.20 -26.4%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 9,207 0.007 $69.05 $6.53 +10.4%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,400 0.044 $62.30 $-637.70 -91.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 570 0.086 $48.73 $-236.26 -82.9%
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes 733 0.065 $47.63 $10.99 +30.0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,351 0.021 $27.70 $-648.00 -95.9%