| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
210 |
0.945 |
$198.45 |
$7.45 |
+3.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.935 |
$140.25 |
$17.25 |
+14.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
204 |
0.675 |
$137.98 |
$-1.19 |
-0.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
145 |
0.945 |
$137.04 |
$9.98 |
+7.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
150 |
0.865 |
$129.75 |
$3.75 |
+3.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.835 |
$125.25 |
$1.35 |
+1.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
130 |
0.900 |
$116.84 |
$33.79 |
+40.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
106 |
1.000 |
$106.19 |
$14.77 |
+16.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.519 |
$103.80 |
$-16.14 |
-13.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
100 |
0.969 |
$96.85 |
$0.35 |
+0.4% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
130 |
0.715 |
$92.95 |
$12.45 |
+15.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
114 |
0.785 |
$89.11 |
$49.52 |
+125.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
247 |
0.356 |
$87.77 |
$-12.23 |
-12.2% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
70 |
0.977 |
$68.36 |
$0.55 |
+0.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
360 |
0.165 |
$59.40 |
$-35.20 |
-37.2% |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.972 |
$29.16 |
$0.03 |
+0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.961 |
$28.82 |
$-0.07 |
-0.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.885 |
$26.55 |
$0.75 |
+2.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
100 |
0.213 |
$21.35 |
$-1.85 |
-8.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.515 |
$10.30 |
$-0.10 |
-1.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
450 |
0.021 |
$9.22 |
$0.68 |
+7.9% |