PnL (30d)

−$4,062

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,030

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

183W / 6,057L · 2,153 open

Win Return (30d)

3%

219W / 7,563L · 611 open

Trades (30d)

8,393

across 1,660 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$3.88

avg win $1 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.01

$28 won / $4,090 lost

Reward / Risk

0.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$852

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	2.9% 183W/6,057L	1660	$139,433
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/7L	74	$5,510
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/10L	47	$3,315
🌤 Weather	6.1% 7W/107L	28	$2,699
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/15L	26	$1,814
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/8L	18	$877
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/7L	16	$1,077
⚽ Sports	—	16	$967
🔬 Science	—	2	$229

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?	No	50	0.865	$43.25	$-0.75	-1.7%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by August 31?	No	50	0.565	$28.25	$-11.75	-29.4%
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	18	0.440	$8.07	$-3.67	-31.3%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?	Yes	50	0.016	$0.80	$-0.70	-46.7%