PnL (30d)

−$476

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$45

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-25.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

16%

69W / 359L · 56 open

Win Return (30d)

14%

69W / 413L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

484

across 103 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$5.23

avg win $8 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.28

$184 won / $660 lost

Reward / Risk

0.78

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.1% 69W/359L	103	$3,165
🏛 Politics	—	2	$88

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	3,006	0.019	$58.62	$-15.75	-21.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	1,519	0.002	$2.28	$-12.77	-84.9%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	39	0.023	$0.90	$-0.04	-4.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	10	0.065	$0.65	$-0.35	-35.0%