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Trader leaderboard/incognitoX

incognitoX

0x43b441cc6c267c329358e2aadf257b1c5b97bbfa
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
5W / 6L
Trades (30d)
11
across 11 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.38
avg win $0
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $16,475

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 87.5% 7W/1L 21 $82
🏛 Politics 4 $27

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 19 0.853 $16.30 $1.30 +8.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 15 0.845 $12.94 $-0.06 -0.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 12 0.945 $11.60 $1.60 +16.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 12 0.945 $11.25 $1.25 +12.5%
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No 11 0.975 $11.07 $1.07 +10.7%
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing 11 0.964 $10.59 $0.59 +5.9%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 11 0.945 $10.38 $0.38 +3.8%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 11 0.935 $10.27 $0.27 +2.7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 10 0.979 $10.10 $0.10 +1.0%
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 11 0.947 $10.07 $0.07 +0.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 12 0.790 $9.72 $-0.28 -2.8%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 16 0.540 $8.89 $-1.11 -11.1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 11 0.675 $7.24 $0.24 +3.4%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 8 0.890 $6.87 $-0.13 -1.9%
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? No 7 0.920 $6.05 $1.05 +21.1%
Diddy released from custody in 2026? No 8 0.776 $5.96 $-1.04 -14.9%
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? No 6 0.945 $5.83 $0.83 +16.7%
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? No 6 0.875 $5.46 $0.46 +9.3%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.830 $5.46 $0.46 +9.2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.905 $5.45 $0.45 +9.0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.962 $5.34 $0.34 +6.8%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 6 0.938 $5.33 $0.33 +6.7%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 5 0.977 $5.25 $0.25 +5.0%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No 5 0.955 $5.25 $0.25 +4.9%
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? No 6 0.930 $5.22 $0.22 +4.5%