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Trader leaderboard/0x43AB6682572796f6f684970eBB6Cf8C14c92A0eF-1761760556265

0x43AB6682572796f6f684970eBB6Cf8C14c92A0eF-1761760556265

0x43ab6682572796f6f684970ebb6cf8c14c92a0ef
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$378
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$453
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
4%
1W / 24L · 49 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
15W / 59L
Trades (30d)
74
across 13 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$126.02
avg win $37 · loss $207
Profit Factor
0.09
$37 won / $415 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $100 · all-time $251,050

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 5.0% 2W/38L 17 $5,805
🏛 Politics 2 $78

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 6,940 0.625 $4,337.50 $173.10 +4.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 2,531 0.935 $2,366.72 $306.85 +14.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 1,600 0.925 $1,480.00 $56.00 +3.9%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 1,000 0.945 $945.00 $45.00 +5.0%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No 877 0.910 $798.16 $227.11 +39.8%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,019 0.675 $687.86 $87.76 +14.6%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 672 0.996 $668.97 $96.61 +16.9%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 1,000 0.665 $665.00 $75.00 +12.7%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 21,605 0.022 $475.30 $127.66 +36.7%
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? No 375 0.860 $322.50 $42.33 +15.1%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 300 0.996 $298.80 $48.80 +19.5%
Kash Patel out by December 31? No 366 0.790 $289.52 $173.48 +149.5%
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? Yes 15,858 0.008 $126.87 $-1,406.08 -91.7%
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? No 400 0.245 $98.00 $-54.00 -35.5%
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? No 57 0.997 $56.43 $2.69 +5.0%
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? Yes 220 0.255 $56.01 $-26.01 -31.7%
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat? Yes 100 0.380 $38.00 $10.00 +35.7%
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? Yes 70 0.020 $1.40 $0.70 +100.0%