PnL (30d)

+$496

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$507

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

55W / 11L · 63 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

106W / 20L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

129

across 33 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$29.18

avg win $90 · loss $116

Profit Factor

1.85

$1,076 won / $580 lost

Reward / Risk

0.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.3% 55W/11L	33	$13,839
₿ Crypto	—	5	$1,754
💵 Economy	—	5	$1,754

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	31,199	0.130	$4,055.84	$2,189.94	+117.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	9,363	0.172	$1,605.71	$436.63	+37.3%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	1,356	0.895	$1,213.28	$263.07	+27.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9?	No	1,000	0.945	$945.00	$75.00	+8.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	1,000	0.795	$794.99	$55.00	+7.4%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	800	0.969	$775.20	$123.20	+18.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	1,000	0.750	$750.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	800	0.902	$722.00	$252.20	+53.7%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	712	0.930	$662.20	$210.94	+46.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	1,000	0.575	$575.00	$65.00	+12.7%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,720	0.310	$533.05	$-264.92	-33.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	500	0.920	$460.00	$85.00	+22.7%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	600	0.745	$447.00	$93.00	+26.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	500	0.880	$440.00	$121.00	+37.9%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	400	0.981	$392.19	$27.00	+7.4%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	501	0.610	$305.77	$41.89	+15.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	327	0.935	$305.75	$44.14	+16.9%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	400	0.708	$283.00	$37.80	+15.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9?	No	325	0.610	$198.25	$35.75	+22.0%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?	No	1,000	0.190	$190.00	$-180.00	-48.6%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	200	0.876	$175.30	$5.10	+3.0%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	200	0.742	$148.40	$0.00	+0.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	484	0.304	$147.10	$35.89	+32.3%
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	81	0.905	$73.06	$17.15	+30.7%
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	No	14	0.895	$12.70	$2.20	+20.9%