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Trader leaderboard/wataxut

wataxut

0x437b8df29d183fe384601c61a42202fef7a10f0b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$87
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$20
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
26W / 20L · 78 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
83W / 41L
Trades (30d)
124
across 29 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$5.82
avg win $2 · loss $18
Profit Factor
0.19
$21 won / $108 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,452 · all-time $88,607

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.7% 76W/74L 61 $8,360
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/5L 9 $996

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? No 273 0.755 $205.76 $-1.36 -0.7%
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19? No 168 0.805 $135.51 $-0.25 -0.2%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 199 0.565 $112.14 $-23.84 -17.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 93 0.999 $93.33 $18.55 +24.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 98 0.855 $84.10 $10.33 +14.0%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 86 0.885 $76.05 $1.29 +1.7%
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 86 0.875 $75.34 $0.43 +0.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 87 0.855 $74.56 $-0.44 -0.6%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 87 0.838 $73.04 $-1.92 -2.6%
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes 85 0.832 $70.55 $-4.11 -5.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: August Nothing 86 0.815 $69.72 $-1.29 -1.8%
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 90 0.710 $64.15 $-10.84 -14.5%
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? No 65 0.423 $27.38 $-23.05 -45.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 28 0.910 $25.37 $3.90 +18.2%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 19 0.944 $17.85 $1.80 +11.2%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 9 0.966 $8.24 $0.89 +12.1%
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? Yes 10 0.640 $6.67 $-1.25 -15.8%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 6 0.785 $4.65 $-0.09 -1.9%