PnL (30d)

+$19

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$54

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

1W / 4L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

17%

2W / 10L

Trades (30d)

12

across 9 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$4.85

avg win $29 · loss $3

Profit Factor

3.06

$29 won / $9 lost

Reward / Risk

9.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.0% 1W/4L	9	$356
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$71
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$71

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	658	0.750	$493.42	$-6.58	-1.3%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	424	0.955	$404.47	$46.47	+13.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	200	0.991	$198.10	$14.10	+7.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	769	0.120	$92.31	$-7.69	-7.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	435	0.155	$67.39	$-32.61	-32.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	111	0.360	$39.84	$-20.16	-33.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	161	0.130	$20.97	$10.97	+109.7%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	157	0.100	$15.71	$-48.29	-75.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	41	0.304	$12.54	$2.54	+25.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	70	0.169	$11.75	$1.75	+17.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	20	0.505	$9.90	$-0.10	-1.0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	63	0.065	$4.09	$-26.39	-86.6%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50	0.055	$2.75	$-18.25	-86.9%