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Trader

0x42b316bd04bc6ed3d075ebf174e861fb883dc57e
PnL (30d)
+$4
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
6W / 2L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
9W / 15L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
25
across 19 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.77
avg win $4 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.54
$11 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
1.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $805 · all-time $42,868

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.0% 6W/2L 19 $132
🏛 Politics 3 $7
🎬 Culture 1 $4
🌤 Weather 1 $1
🔬 Science 1 $1

Open positions

75 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 185 0.082 $15.09 $10.09 +201.9%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 147 0.090 $13.31 $8.31 +166.2%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 12 0.900 $10.71 $0.71 +7.1%
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? No 11 0.959 $10.54 $0.54 +5.4%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 11 0.915 $10.52 $0.52 +5.2%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No 11 0.905 $10.28 $0.28 +2.8%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.945 $10.27 $0.27 +2.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 16 0.640 $10.24 $2.24 +28.0%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes 14 0.730 $9.95 $0.95 +10.6%
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No 12 0.775 $9.69 $0.69 +7.6%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 16 0.605 $9.68 $1.68 +21.0%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 11 0.865 $9.61 $0.61 +6.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 11 0.865 $9.61 $0.61 +6.8%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? No 12 0.805 $9.58 $-0.42 -4.2%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 13 0.700 $8.89 $0.89 +11.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.700 $8.54 $-1.46 -14.6%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 12 0.716 $8.28 $-1.72 -17.2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 20 0.405 $8.10 $1.10 +15.7%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 11 0.745 $7.86 $1.85 +30.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 12 0.615 $7.28 $-1.72 -19.1%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 556 0.013 $7.22 $2.22 +44.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 16 0.455 $7.14 $-0.86 -10.8%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 15 0.455 $6.78 $-0.22 -3.2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 76 0.088 $6.70 $1.70 +34.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 15 0.445 $6.63 $-0.37 -5.3%