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Trader leaderboard/Kuomintang

Kuomintang

0x426227d4a9c4ad5a1aae7f2706238f2154b9abaa
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$33
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$34
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 38L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
27%
17W / 45L
Trades (30d)
62
across 6 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$16.66
· loss $17
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $33 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$33
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,740 · all-time $537,993

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.9% 393W/132L 140 $43,715
🏛 Politics 64.6% 64W/35L 22 $7,068
🎬 Culture 23.5% 4W/13L 6 $1,688
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $690
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 3 $173
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/35L 3 $803
🌤 Weather 33.3% 2W/4L 2 $101

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 815 0.615 $500.93 $42.37 +9.2%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 593 0.485 $287.54 $36.68 +14.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 450 0.615 $276.75 $-66.00 -19.3%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No 292 0.790 $230.93 $17.86 +8.4%
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No 204 0.835 $170.21 $27.52 +19.3%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No 200 0.725 $144.99 $9.00 +6.6%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 150 0.860 $129.00 $43.00 +50.0%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? Yes 178 0.680 $121.28 $-27.12 -18.3%
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? Yes 85 0.981 $83.29 $11.12 +15.4%
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? No 113 0.665 $74.92 $33.52 +81.0%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 80 0.680 $54.40 $1.60 +3.0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes 400 0.135 $54.00 $-2.00 -3.6%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 50 0.915 $45.75 $2.25 +5.2%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 71 0.590 $41.60 $10.49 +33.7%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? Yes 50 0.790 $39.48 $6.00 +17.9%
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? No 41 0.925 $38.02 $4.32 +12.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? No 30 0.982 $29.46 $0.90 +3.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 50 0.536 $26.80 $-8.20 -23.4%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 35 0.673 $23.69 $-7.22 -23.4%
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? No 100 0.210 $21.00 $-5.00 -19.2%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 19 0.999 $18.48 $0.48 +2.7%
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? Yes 106 0.165 $17.48 $-24.16 -58.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 19 0.785 $14.87 $1.42 +10.6%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 5 0.981 $5.10 $0.10 +2.0%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 2 0.996 $2.03 $0.03 +1.6%